Journal of Neurotrauma

Background: Prognostication after moderate-to-severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) rarely captures long-term functional recovery, despite its importance to patients, families, and clinicians. Large trauma registries such as the Trauma Quality Improvement Program (TQIP) dataset contain detailed clinical data but lack systematic follow-up, limiting their ability to study longer-term functional outcomes. Methods: We developed and externally validated a machine learning model to predict favorable six-month functional outcome (GOS MD/GR or GOSE >=5) using harmonized data from two randomized clinical trials: CRASH (training) and ROC-TBI (validation). Five candidate classifiers (random forest [RF], linear discriminant analysis, k-nearest neighbors, naive Bayes, and support vector machine) were trained using seven shared clinical predictors. Models were evaluated using ROC-AUC, calibration metrics, and performance at the Youden optimal threshold and a high-sensitivity secondary threshold. The final model was applied to patients with moderate-to-severe TBI in the national TQIP registry (2017-2022) to estimate population-level recovery patterns. Results: The RF model demonstrated the highest overall performance after recalibration, achieving strong discrimination (AUC internal and external, 0.887 and 0.784), good calibration, and high sensitivity (0.890) and negative predictive value (0.909). Applied to 63,289 patients from TQIP, the model estimated that 45% would achieve favorable six-month outcomes at the Youden optimal threshold and 57% at the high-sensitivity threshold, with predicted recovery aligning with established clinical correlates such as younger age, higher admission GCS, and lower rates of penetrating or brainstem injuries. Conclusion: A machine learning model trained on high-quality trial data can generate clinically plausible estimates of long-term functional recovery when applied at scale to national trauma registries that lack systematic follow-up. This approach enables imputation of functional outcomes in datasets lacking follow-up, supports benchmarking and quality improvement across trauma systems, and provides a foundation for future models incorporating physiologic time-series, imaging, and biomarker data.

BackgroundSpinal cord injury (SCI) triggers remote pathological changes in supraspinal regions, including neuroendocrine dysfunction that manifests clinically as hyponatremia and central diabetes insipidus. Clinical observations of lesion-level dependency and sequential transformation between these disorders suggest a temporally ordered hypothalamic cascade in which a compensatory arginine vasopressin (AVP)-driven neuroendocrine surge may precede a later neuroinflammation and endoplasmic reticulum (ER) stress-mediated neuronal exhaustion. Direct transcriptomic evidence for the temporal ordering of these events, however, has been lacking. MethodsWe performed a dual-cohort transcriptomic analysis. A discovery cohort (NCBI Sequence Read Archive PRJNA953752) comprised hypothalamic tissue from adult male Sprague-Dawley rats subjected to high-thoracic (T3) SCI, low-thoracic (T10) SCI, or sham surgery, sampled at post-injury day 7 and analyzed with edgeR/DESeq2 (|log2FC| > 1, Padj < 0.05). An independent chronic-phase validation cohort (Gene Expression Omnibus GSE297887) of hippocampal tissue from SCI and sham mice was interrogated as a sensitive supraspinal proxy for remote neuroinflammatory and ER-stress signatures. Pre-defined gene panels covered neuroendocrine, neuroinflammation, and ER-stress/unfolded-protein-response categories. ResultsIn the discovery cohort, high-thoracic SCI produced a lesion-level-dependent neuroendocrine surge in the hypothalamus: Avp (fold change 7.23; Padj = 0.002), Oxt (fold change 14.25; Padj = 2.3 x 10-7), and Ucn3 (fold change 9.22; Padj = 0.002) were among the most significantly upregulated genes genome-wide, whereas low-thoracic SCI failed to reach significance for any of these targets. Classical neuroinflammation markers and canonical ER-stress effectors remained transcriptionally silent (all Padj > 0.69). The PERK-pathway sentinel genes Trib3 and Ppp1r15a/GADD34 exhibited coordinated sub-threshold trends indicative of early activation, and Avp expression was tightly correlated with Mmp9 (r = 0.833; P = 0.0004). In the chronic-phase validation cohort, microglial P2ry12 and ferroptosis signatures were significantly upregulated (P2ry12 fold change 1.33; P = 0.008) suggesting a primed microglial state, while ER-stress effectors remained silent. ConclusionsThese data support a temporally ordered hypothalamic cascade after SCI in which an early compensatory neuroendocrine surge precedes -- and may precipitate, through biosynthetic overload and blood-brain-barrier disruption -- a subsequent neuroinflammation and ER-stress crisis. The defined molecular window between neuroendocrine activation and inflammatory/ER-stress engagement identifies a candidate therapeutic window for early neuroprotective intervention in acute SCI.

BackgroundGlobal cerebral anoxia is a leading cause of death and resuscitated patients often remained persistently affected by neurological deficits. While previous studies suggest that brain-heart electrophysiological interactions may predict severity and prognosis after hypoxic brain injury coma, little is known about the brain-heart dynamics at near-death. Gaining insight into these mechanisms is crucial for developing targeted interventions in critical conditions. ResultsUsing a rodent model of reversible systemic anoxia (n=29, male and female rats), we investigated whether brain-heart interactions during the asphyxia onset could predict the return of brain electrical activities after resuscitation. Electrophysiological recordings confirmed that cerebral activity declines following asphyxia, coinciding with increased heart rate variability. Notably, the strong coupling between cardiac parasympathetic activity and high-frequency brain activity in the somatosensory cortex and hippocampus serves as a key predictor of a favorable outcome. ConclusionOur study underscores the involvement of the brain-heart axis mechanisms in the physiology of dying and the potential prognostic significance of these mechanisms, paving the way for translational research into critical care, based on new characterizations of cardiac reflexes and brain-heart interactions.

ObjectiveTo describe the design, feasibility, and baseline characteristics of the Migraine Impact on Neurocognitive Dynamics (MIND) study, a 30-day smartphone-based cohort for high-frequency assessment of cognition and symptoms in adults with migraine. BackgroundCognitive symptoms are an important component of migraine burden, but they are difficult to measure using single-visit testing or retrospective questionnaires. Repeated smartphone-based assessment may better capture real-world variability in cognition and symptoms. MethodsAdults meeting International Classification of Headache Disorders, 3rd edition, criteria for migraine were enrolled remotely and completed 30 days of once-daily ecological momentary assessments and mobile cognitive tasks delivered through the Mobile Monitoring of Cognitive Change platform. Baseline measures assessed demographics, migraine characteristics, disability, mood, stress, and treatment patterns. Feasibility was evaluated using enrollment, completion, and retention metrics. ResultsA total of 177 participants enrolled (mean age 38.8 {+/-} 11.9 years; 79.7% female), including 80/177 (45.2%) with chronic migraine. Across the 30-day protocol, 3688 daily assessments were completed, representing 70.8% of all possible study days, and 70.6% of participants completed at least 20 days of monitoring. Completion remained above 60% across study days. At baseline, chronic migraine was associated with greater burden than low-frequency and high-frequency episodic migraine, including higher MIDAS scores (98.6 vs. 38.7 and 70.3), more days with concentration difficulty (16.0 vs. 7.9 and 11.5), and more days with functional interference (18.5 vs. 7.6 and 13.0). ConclusionsThe MIND study demonstrates the feasibility of high-frequency smartphone-based assessment of cognition and symptoms in migraine and provides a methodological foundation for future analyses of within-person cognitive and symptom dynamics across the migraine cycle.

This research demonstrates that the trans-aqueduct approach is a feasible, minimally invasive access pathway to the third ventricle, offering a potential route to the deep brain for therapeutic technologies. Further pre-clinical investigation is required to thoroughly evaluate physiological tolerance, trauma risk, and the long-term implications of intraventricular implantation. The third ventricle is a high-value site for neuromodulation due to its proximity to deep-brain targets, including the subthalamic nucleus (STN) and globus pallidus internus (GPi). This study defined the anatomical pathway; and evaluated the technical feasibility of retrograde access to the third ventricle via the cerebral aqueduct using minimally invasive interventional techniques. Evaluation was conducted in three phases using human MRI datasets (n=16; mean age 48.4 years) and cadaveric specimens (n=6; mean age 88.2 years). Phase 1 involved morphometric MRI analysis of the aqueduct and ventricles. Phase 2 tested trans-aqueduct access on cadaver specimens via fluoroscopically guided guidewires and catheters. Phase 3 utilized direct anatomical dissections on cadaver specimens (n=3) to morphometrically measure the third ventricular cavity and its relationship to deep-brain nuclei. Measurements across the sample groups showed a mean aqueduct diameter of 1.6 mm (SD=0.14). Third ventricle dimensions averaged 27.6 mm (ventral-dorsal), 19.9 mm (caudal-cranial), and 5.7 mm (lateral). Successful access to the third ventricle was achieved in 83% (5/6) of cadaveric specimens. The optimal technical configuration utilized a 0.018'' angled-tip guidewire and 5-6 Fr catheters; the aqueduct accommodated diameters up to 2.0 mm with minimal resistance. The STN and GPi were localized within 5-20 mm of the ventricular volumetric centroid. The trans-aqueduct approach is a technically feasible, minimally invasive pathway for accessing the third ventricle. This route offers a potential alternative for the delivery of therapeutic neurotechnologies. Further research is required to assess physiological tolerance, trauma risk, and the long-term safety of intraventricular implantation.

Introduction Cervical spondylotic myelopathy (CSM) surgery is frequently associated with residual neurological deficits, partly due to unrecognized dynamic spinal cord compression on conventional MRI. Current static imaging may miss position-dependent stenosis, resulting in insufficient or inappropriate decompression. This study aims to evaluate whether dynamic MRI-guided individualized surgery improves neurological outcomes compared to conventional MRI-based planning. Objectives This study aims to examine the association between dynamic MRI-guided surgical planning and neurological recovery in cervical spondylotic myelopathy, and to evaluate its role in identifying responsible segments, avoiding excessive surgery, and improving clinical outcomes. Methods This single-center retrospective cohort study will include 300 patients who underwent cervical spine surgery between January 2020 and December 2025 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine. Patients will be categorized into the dynamic MRI-guided group (n=150) or conventional MRI-based group (n=150) based on preoperative imaging modality. 1:1 propensity score matching will be performed using age, sex, BMI, disease duration, baseline mJOA score, and number of compressed segments. The primary outcome is the rate of improvement in the mJOA score at 6 months postoperatively. Secondary outcomes include VAS, NDI, reoperation rate, and time to first complication. Between-group comparisons will use t-tests/Mann-Whitney U tests for continuous variables, {chi}{superscript 2} tests/Fisher's exact tests for categorical variables, and Kaplan-Meier estimates with the log-rank test for time-to-event outcomes. A two-sided P<0.05 will be considered significant. Analyses will be performed using R software (version 4.4.1). Ethical approval was obtained from the Medical Ethics Committee of the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi University of Chinese Medicine (Approval No. 2025-080-KY-01) from February 06, 2026 to February 05, 2027. Expected outcomes We hypothesize that dynamic MRI-guided surgical planning will improve neurological recovery and decompression accuracy in cervical spondylotic myelopathy, providing evidence for optimized preoperative imaging and precision spine surgery.

This cross-sectional derivation and internal validation study aimed to develop and internally validate a clinical triage scoring system (CTSS) for field-based identification of collegiate athletes requiring priority intervention for lumbopelvic-hip (LPH) dysfunction. A total of 864 collegiate athletes (mean age 21.3 {+/-} 2.4 years; 80.8% male) were recruited from 10 universities. Participants underwent standardized assessments including demographic characteristics, clinical history, and LPH functional testing. Using an expert-adjudicated binary reference standard (priority intervention vs self-management), a multivariable logistic regression model was developed to derive the weighted CTSS. Model performance was evaluated using discrimination, calibration, and decision curve analysis (DCA), and internal validation was performed using 1,000 bootstrap resamples. Of the 864 participants, 463 athletes (53.6%) were classified as requiring priority intervention. The final 14-factor CTSS comprised 12 positive-weight predictors, such as localized LPH pain, muscle weakness, and higher body mass index, and 2 negative-weight predictors, positive Lasegues sign and hamstring weakness, which functioned served as safety-related modifiers. The model demonstrated acceptable discrimination (AUROC = 0.851, 95% CI: 0.824-0.876), with minimal optimism (optimism-corrected AUROC = 0.842) and excellent calibration (calibration slope = 1.000; calibration intercept = 0.000). A total score of [&ge;]9 was identified as the optimal threshold, yielding a sensitivity of 84.4% and specificity of 71.8%. DCA showed greater net benefit than treat-all and treat-none strategies across clinically relevant threshold probabilities (20%-50%), with a net benefit of 0.319 at a 50% threshold probability. The CTSS may provide a pragmatic field-based triage tool to support early identification of athletes who may require priority intervention, although external validation is needed before broader implementation in sports medicine settings.

A prominent radiological manifestation of cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA) is enlargement of perivascular spaces (EPVS), which is suggested to result from fluid stagnation due to impaired perivascular clearance. Here, we report a novel observation of hypointense rims in cerebral white matter surrounding EPVS near haemorrhages on in vivo 7T Gradient Echo MRI. We hypothesised that the observed black rim pattern denotes iron accumulation that may be caused by incomplete clearance following bleeding. We investigated the occurrence and localisation of this marker on in vivo and ex vivo MRI and examined its histopathological correlates. From MRI data of the prospective longitudinal natural history study of hereditary Dutch-type CAA (D-CAA) at Leiden University Medical Centre, we selected the first 20 consecutive patients who underwent 7T imaging and assessed the presence of black rims on MRI. Post-mortem material was available from one donor with black rims on in vivo scans. Formalin-fixed coronal brain slabs were scanned at 7T MRI, including a high-resolution T2*-weighted sequence. Guided by ex vivo MRI, tissue blocks from representative areas with black rims were sampled for histopathological analysis. Serial sections were stained for iron, calcium, myelin, and general tissue morphology. On in vivo 7T MRI, 9 out of 20 participants exhibited one or several black rims, all located close to a haemorrhage. In the D-CAA donor, ex vivo MRI signal loss matched the in vivo contrast changes. Thirty-six vessels with ex vivo-observed black rims were retrieved and histopathologically examined, showing iron accumulation surrounding perivascular spaces, but the pattern and severity of iron deposition varied. Across groups, vessels displayed microvascular degeneration, including hyaline vessel wall thickening, adventitial fibrosis, and perivascular inflammation. We identified black rims on in vivo 7T MRI and confirmed their correspondence on ex vivo imaging. Iron deposition was determined as the underlying correlate of black rims, but the histopathology appears heterogeneous. The preferential deposition of iron around EPVS may indicate incomplete clearance of iron-positive blood-breakdown products after bleeding. The varied pattern of iron accumulation and microvascular alterations may reflect different pathophysiological mechanisms related to the formation and maintenance of black rims in D-CAA.

BackgroundAlthough neurogenic orthostatic hypotension (nOH) is a common and debilitating feature of multiple system atrophy (MSA), little is known about the burden of symptoms in the real world. ObjectivesTo design and conduct a cross-sectional community-based research survey targeting patients with MSA, with and without nOH. MethodsWe recruited patients with MSA to complete an anonymous online survey covering three core themes: 1) timely diagnosis, 2) nOH pharmacotherapy and refractory symptoms, and 3) confidence in physician knowledge. Responses were grouped by pre-specified diagnostic certainty levels. Relationships between symptoms, function, and pharmacotherapy were assessed using univariate and multivariate methods. ResultsWe analyzed 259 respondents with a self-reported diagnosis of MSA (age: M=64.38, SD=8.09 years; 44% female). In total, 42% also had a diagnosis nOH; 40% had symptoms highly suspicious of nOH, but no diagnosis; and 21% reported having never had their blood pressure measured in the standing position at a clinical visit. Treatment with a pressor agent was independently associated with the presence of other symptoms of autonomic failure. Each additional nOH symptom reported increased the odds of requiring pharmacotherapy by 18%. Yet, despite anti-hypotensive medication use, 97% of patients reported limitations in their ability to bathe, cook, or arise from a chair/bed with 76% needing caregiver support for refractory nOH symptoms. ConclusionsThis cross-sectional representative sample shows nOH is underrecognized and undertreated in MSA patients, leading to substantial functional limitations. It is our hope that these findings are leveraged for planning future trials and advocating for better treatments.

Chronic pain and nicotine use frequently co-occur, and individuals with chronic pain often experience greater difficulty quitting. Therefore, we examined nicotine withdrawal behaviors and analgesic-like effects in pain-naive and chronic pain conditions. Adult male and female rats underwent chronic constriction injury or sham surgery. After pain establishment, rats received twice-daily subcutaneous nicotine (0.3 or 0.7 mg/kg) or saline for 14 days. 24 h after the final injection, withdrawal was assessed, including physical signs and anxiety-like behavior. Depressive-like responses were evaluated at 72 h. Pain sensitivity and nicotines analgesic-like effects were assessed throughout. Chronic pain increased physical signs of withdrawal in both sexes, with greater effects in females. It also induced anxiety-like behavior in controls of both sexes. In rats with comorbid chronic pain and withdrawal, anxiety-like behavior was further enhanced in males, whereas females showed variable responses across assays, with increases or decreases depending on the test. Chronic pain induced depressive-like behavior in males but not in females. During withdrawal, depressive-like responses in males with chronic pain were not greater than those in the chronic pain alone group, while chronic nicotine exposure reduced depressive-like behavior in females. Nicotine produced acute analgesic-like effects that diminished over time in both pain-naive and chronic pain conditions, indicating tolerance. In pain-naive rats, repeated nicotine exposure induced mechanical hypersensitivity. Chronic pain intensified nicotine withdrawal severity in a nicotine concentration- and sex-dependent manner. These findings highlight the importance of considering pain status and sex when developing effective cessation strategies, particularly for individuals with comorbid chronic pain. SummaryChronic pain exacerbates nicotine withdrawal severity. Chronic nicotine exposure induces pain hypersensitivity and tolerance to analgesic effects. These effects vary by nicotine concentration and sex.

Objectives: The primary aim of this study was to assess the feasibility of delivering an adapted problem-solving skills (PSS) intervention by quantifying the recruitment, follow-up and completion rates using a brief problem-solving intervention for people with a mental health diagnosis in two Polish prisons. Design: IAPPS is an open, multi-centred, parallel group feasibility randomised controlled trial (RCT). Setting: Two prisons in Poland. Participants: Men in custody aged 18 years and older, having a mental illness and living within the prison therapeutic unit. Interventions: The intervention consisted of an adapted PSS skills intervention plus care as usual (CAU) or care as usual only. Delivered in groups of up to five people in 1.5-hour sessions over the course of two weeks. Main outcome measures: Primary outcomes - rate of recruitment, follow-up, and feasibility to deliver the intervention. Secondary outcomes included measures of depression, general mental health, and coping strategies. Results: 129 male prisoners were screened, 64 were randomly allocated, with a mean age of 53.5 years (SD 14, range 23-84). 59 (95%) prisoners were of Polish origin. Our recruitment rate was 48%. There was differential follow up with those in the intervention group less likely to complete the post-test battery versus those who received care as usual. Outcome measures were successfully collected at both time points. Conclusions We were able to recruit, retain and deliver the intervention within the prison setting; some logistical challenges limited our assessment of intervention engagement. Our data helps to demonstrate how use of the RCT study design can be implemented and delivered within the complex prison environment. Trial registration number ISRCTN 70138247, protocol registration date May 2021

Neuropathic pain after spinal cord injury reflects persistent hyperexcitability in the spinal cord dorsal horn, yet the molecular drivers sustaining this maladaptive state are unknown. Using an antibody microarray of dorsal horn tissue from mice six weeks after cervical contusion spinal cord injury, we found persistent upregulation of Eph-ephrin signaling, including increased EphB1, EphB2 and EphB3 expression and phosphorylation. Reversible chemogenetic inhibition of EphB kinase activity, using an EphB1/2/3 analog-sensitive knock-in mouse, selectively reversed established mechanical allodynia without affecting thermal hyperalgesia or motor function and also shifted dorsal horn signaling away from pain sensitization-associated pathways. Among EphB receptors, EphB2 showed the most consistent and robust injury-induced increase in expression within dorsal horn. Although EphB2 transcript levels increased in both dorsal horn neurons and astrocytes, conditional deletion of EphB2 only in dorsal horn neurons, but not in astrocytes, reversed established mechanical allodynia and reduced dorsal horn neuronal activation. These findings identify EphB signaling, and neuronal EphB2 in particular, as a mechanism that actively maintains pain hypersensitivity after spinal cord injury.

BackgroundAcute basilar artery occlusion (BAO) causes devastating strokes. Despite the benefit of endovascular treatment, the optimal management remains sometimes controversial, such as for patients with mild deficits, and would benefit from robust prognostic tools. Given the dense white matter networks within the posterior fossa, we tested whether quantifying disconnections from acute diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) could improve outcome prediction and responders to recanalization compared with conventional metrics. MethodsWe conducted a secondary analysis from a prospective multicenter stroke registry, including consecutive patients (2017-2024) with BAO and admission MRI. Ultra-high-resolution diffusion MRI was acquired in healthy participants to build normative tractograms with optimized posterior fossa quality. Patient infarcts delineated on DWI were projected onto these tractograms to estimate disconnected fiber volume. The primary outcome was 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0-3 vs 4-6. Predictive performance of disconnected fiber volume was compared with baseline NIHSS, infarct volume, and posterior circulation ASPECTS (pc-ASPECTS) using logistic regressions and areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC). Ordinal regressions tested associations across the full mRS spectrum, stratified by recanalization status. Analyses were repeated in patients with NIHSS [&le;]10. ResultsAmong 201 patients (median age 70; NIHSS 10), 97 (48.3%) had poor outcome. Despite small median infarct volume (4.75 mL), disconnected fiber volume was substantial (median 25.15 mL). Disconnected fiber volume achieved an AUC of 0.84, outperforming NIHSS (0.67; p<0.0001), infarct volume (0.75; p=0.00059), and pc-ASPECTS (0.76; p=0.0127). Low disconnected fiber volume predicted better outcomes across the full mRS (OR=0.12 [95% CI, 0.065-0.204]) and greater benefit from successful recanalization (OR=0.33 [95% CI, 0.15-0.70]). In patients with NIHSS [&le;]10 (n=102), disconnected fiber volume remained the strongest predictor (AUC=0.83). ConclusionsDisconnected fiber volume derived indirectly is a robust prognostic marker of BAO outcomes that outperforms conventional predictors and may support future treatment decisions. Registrationhttps://clinicaltrials.gov - NCT03776877.

The early somatosensory nuclei of the brainstem and thalamus are traditionally considered relays of bottom-up peripheral input, yet animal studies indicate that they also receive top-down cortical projections. Whether such top-down processing exists in humans remains unknown. Here, we used cervical spinal cord injury (SCI), in which peripheral somatosensory input is reduced or absent while cortical representations are preserved, to test whether top-down processing can elicit activation across the somatosensory nuclei. We combined 3 Tesla functional and quantitative MRI data to assess activity and structural integrity along the somatosensory hand pathway in 16 individuals with chronic cervical SCI (mean age {+/-} s.e.m.=52.4 {+/-} 3.5 years) and 20 age-, sex-, and handedness-matched able-bodied control subjects (mean age=50.8 {+/-} 3.5 years). Participants were visually cued to make overt or, in case of hand paralysis, attempted right- and left-hand movements. We quantified activation across the cuneate nucleus, ventroposterior lateral thalamus, and primary somatosensory hand cortex, and assessed macro- and microstructural indices sensitive to myelin and tissue integrity (MTsat, R2*). Despite reduced or absent peripheral input, SCI participants exhibited robust and lateralised activation across all levels of the somatosensory pathway. This pattern persisted even in a participant with complete hand paralysis who lacked bottom-up afferent input during the fMRI task, indicating that top-down processing alone is sufficient to drive activity in early somatosensory relays. We simultaneously observed structural degeneration in the cuneate nucleus of SCI participants, marked by reductions in volume and myelin-sensitive metrics, suggestive of secondary degeneration. The extent of atrophy was related to time since injury and reduced sensorimotor hand function, but showed no significant relationship with functional activation, suggesting that preserved corticocuneate signalling is not dependent on the degree of structural degeneration. Together, these findings provide the first evidence in humans that the cuneate nuclei are subject to both bottom-up and top-down somatosensory processing. Although these nuclei are vulnerable to structural atrophy following dorsal column injury, our results suggest that top-down processing remains intact decades after spinal cord injury. This may have implications for the development of rehabilitation treatments targeting preserved somatosensory processing after injury.

Chronic pain presents a leading challenge in the world today for both clinicians and researchers. Because chronic pain is difficult to explain and treat, it is often managed with opioids despite providing limited relief and contributing to dependence and misuse. Persistent pain can be maintained by altered central nervous system processing even in the absence of distinct tissue damage or disease, which may limit the efficacy of conventional pharmacological therapies that target nociceptive signal transmission rather than maladaptive central nervous system dynamics often present in those with chronic pain. Although neuroimaging studies have identified this shift from nociceptive to emotional circuits during pain chronification, a quantitative framework linking these neural changes to longitudinal pain trajectories or recovery is lacking. We present a parsimonious firing-rate model that can account for the development of and recovery from chronic pain, which is based on the theoretical framework established by Wilson and Cowan. The model provides a quantitative explanation of how sensitization, anxiety, and fear maintain pain even after an injury has healed, and how calming stimulus downregulates these processes to facilitate recovery. A study applying the same principles as the model produced an average pain decrease of 3.5 on the Visual Analog Scale (VAS), with all subjects experiencing a reduction in pain. These results, coupled with our model and findings in prior studies, suggest that increasing calming stimulus can reduce pain without necessitating pharmacological or invasive, resource-intensive interventions.

Background: The etiology and nosological status of seasonal affective disorder (SAD) as a specifier of depressive episodes versus a transdiagnostic disorder are the subject of debate. In this study, we investigated the underlying etiology of SAD and dimensional seasonality by examining their association with latitude and genetic risk for a range of traits, and investigated gene-environment interactions. Methods: This study included 12,460 adults aged 18-90 with a history of depression from the Australian Genetics of Depression Study. Regression models included predictors for latitude (distance from equator) and polygenic scores for eight traits; major depressive disorder, bipolar disorder, anxiety disorders, chronotype, sleep duration, body mass index, vitamin D levels, and educational attainment. Outcomes were SAD status and general seasonality score. Results: SAD was positively associated with latitude (OR[95%CI] = 1.05[1.03-1.06], padjusted<0.001), and there was nominal evidence of additive and multiplicative interactions between chronotype genetic risk and latitude (OR = 0.99[0.99-0.99], padjusted=0.381; OR=0.98[0.97-0.99], padjusted=0.489). General seasonality score was associated with latitude (IRR=1.01[1.01-1.01], padjusted 0.001) and genetic risk for major depressive disorder (IRR =1.02[1.01-1.03], padjusted<0.001), bipolar disorder (IRR=1.02[1.01-1.03], padjusted=0.001), anxiety disorders (IRR=1.03[1.01-1.04], padjusted<0.001), vitamin D levels (OR=0.89[0.80-0.95], padjusted=0.048), and educational attainment (IRR=0.97[0.96-0.99], padjusted<0.001). Conclusions: These findings enhance understanding of SAD etiology, highlighting contributions of psychiatric genetic risk and geographic measures on seasonal behavior, and support examining seasonality as a continuous dimension.

ImportanceMigraine attacks often occur unpredictably, limiting the ability of individuals to initiate timely preventive or preemptive treatment. Short-term probabilistic forecasting of migraine risk could enable more targeted management strategies. ObjectiveTo externally validate the previously developed Headache Prediction Model (HAPRED-I), evaluate an updated continuously learning model (HAPRED-II), and assess the feasibility and short-term safety of delivering individualized probabilistic migraine forecasts directly to patients. Design, Setting, and ParticipantsProspective 8-week cohort study conducted remotely at two academic medical centers in the United States (Massachusetts General Hospital and Wake Forest Health Sciences) between 2015 and 2019. Adults with recurrent migraine or tension-type headache completed twice-daily electronic diaries. A total of 230 participants contributed 23,335 diary entries across 11,862 participant-days of observation. Main Outcomes and MeasuresOccurrence of a headache attack within 24 hours following each evening diary entry. Model performance was evaluated using discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]) and calibration. ResultsExternal validation of HAPRED-I demonstrated modest discrimination (AUC, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.57-0.61) and poor calibration, with predicted probabilities consistently exceeding observed headache risk. In contrast, the continuously updating HAPRED-II model demonstrated progressive improvement in predictive performance as participant-specific data accumulated. Discrimination increased from an AUC of 0.59 (95% CI, 0.57-0.61) during the first 14 days to 0.66 (95% CI, 0.63-0.70) after the first month, accompanied by improved calibration across predicted risk levels. Over the study period, 6999 individualized forecasts were delivered directly to participants. No evidence suggested that receipt of forecasts was associated with increasing headache frequency or worsening predicted headache risk trajectories. Conclusions and RelevanceA static migraine forecasting model demonstrated limited transportability to new individuals. In contrast, models that continuously update within individuals may improve predictive accuracy over time and enable real-time delivery of personalized migraine risk forecasts. Further work incorporating richer physiologic and contextual predictors will likely be necessary before such systems can reliably guide clinical treatment decisions.

International guidelines for low-frequency electromagnetic field exposure (LF EMF) are primarily intended to prevent substantiated adverse effects. In the frameworks, limits on internal electric fields are linked to external exposure levels through computational dosimetry. However, the relationship between internal electric fields and these adverse effects remains incompletely understood. In particular, current approaches often overlook the morphological complexity and diversity of cortical neurons, which may limit the realism of neuronal activation estimates used to support these assessments. This study evaluates LF EMF-induced neural activation using 25 morphologically realistic neuron models spanning all cortical layers, embedded within 11 detailed human head models. The internal electric fields were simulated for uniform magnetic field exposures (100 Hz-100 kHz) along the three anatomical directions, and excitation thresholds were computed using a multi-scale framework combining voxel-based dosimetry with biophysical neuron simulations. A real-world exposure scenario involving a child near an acousto-magnetic article-surveillance deactivator was also analyzed. Thresholds varied across cell type, morphology, cortical location, subject anatomy, frequency, and exposure direction, with L2/3 pyramidal, L4 basket, and L5 thick-tufted pyramidal cells showing the lowest thresholds. Despite this variability, all simulated thresholds were conservative with respect to the basic restrictions and dosimetric reference limits set by IEEE ICES and ICNIRP. The smallest margin occurred at 100 kHz, where the threshold remained a factor of 2.8 above the corresponding limit. These findings indicate that current LF EMF exposure limits remain conservative when evaluated using highly detailed, morphology-based CNS activation models.

Background: Opioid-related mortality in Texas has escalated dramatically, increasingly driven by illicitly manufactured fentanyl. To address local surges in mortality, the Galveston County Health District deployed the Galveston County Opioid Defense Effort (GCODE) in July 2023, leveraging digitally integrated surveillance data from emergency medical services (EMS) and the Medical Examiner to provide targeted naloxone distribution in identified overdose hot spots. Methods: Using a segmented interrupted time series (ITS) design and Poisson regression with robust standard errors, we evaluated the population-level impact of GCODE on opioid-involved mortality through the end of 2025. Data were sourced from the Galveston Area Ambulance Authority (GAAA) and vital statistics (ICD-10 codes). We assessed mortality trajectory changes, the observed fatality ratio among EMS-detected opioid events (the Survival Gap), and demographic and geographic covariates. Results: The Poisson ITS model included 519 weekly observations (N = 14,827 tract-weeks across 101 census tracts). Pre-intervention, opioid mortality increased by 0.16% weekly (IRR = 1.0016; 95% CI: 1.000-1.003; p = 0.011). Following GCODE deployment, the mortality trajectory reversed to a sustained 0.55% weekly decrease (IRR = 0.9945; 95% CI: 0.990-0.999; p = 0.021). The observed fatality ratio among EMS-detected events declined from 7.59% (preintervention mean; SD = 0.111) to 1.71% (post-intervention; SD = 0.042; Chi^2 = 19.824; p = 0.0001). Opioid decedents were significantly younger than the general mortality population (OR = 0.945 per year of age; p < 0.001), and were descriptively more likely to lack documented race/ethnicity data (41.23% vs. 8.27% Unknown; p < 0.001), limiting equity analysis. Conclusions: The findings are consistent with GCODE having meaningfully reduced opioid mortality by substantially lowering event-level lethality. These results suggest that targeted, digitally coordinated harm reduction can decouple overdose incidence from fatal outcomes, with implications for harm reduction program design in structurally constrained environments.

Objectives: Academic medical institutions are the gatekeepers of the physician workforce and shape the future of medicine by regulating medical school admissions as well as residency training. Although broadly the field of medicine is seeing more representation from traditionally underrepresented groups, the critical decision-making platform of academic medicine continues to be uncharacteristically homogeneous, represented mainly by white males. This is even more pronounced in surgical subspecialties, such as academic neurosurgery. This study aims to quantify this phenomenon, uncover its driving factors, and define opportunities for improvement. Methods: Using a mixed research methodology, academic neurosurgical faculty in the U.S were identified, and their demographic data was collected. An internet search using Google Scholar and Scopus was conducted to determine scholarly activity using number of publications and h-index. Results: We found a significant increase in female faculty in academic neurosurgery within the last decade. Comparing the faculty rank amongst male and female faculty, we found that the majority of female faculty are at the assistant professor level (n=36/79; 45.6%) while male faculty are more at the full professor rank (n=265/582; 45.5%). A similar trend was seen for under-represented minority neurosurgery faculty. Strong scholarly activity corelated with a departmental chair position for male faculty, however, this trend was not true for female faculty. There was a significant difference in the number of publications and h-index in female vs male faculty, but only when including male faculty outliers at the full professor level. Conclusion: Slowly but steadily, academic neurosurgery is making progress towards a more diverse and representative workforce in the U.S that better reflects the patient population. Facilitating timely progression of females and URM neurosurgeons into senior professorship and academic leadership roles will further advance this essential progress.